Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.191910 3.567254 3.973691 4.447245 4.984785 5.577067 6.280560
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.657124 3.158308 3.739501 4.466145 5.354295 6.409526 7.765649
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.360048 2.938705 3.645589 4.578696 5.786964 7.310760 9.397054
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.115100 2.733798 3.521995 4.609528 6.086347 8.043699 10.870642
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.925121 2.568424 3.417871 4.635484 6.358730 8.744475 12.357365
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.769602 2.427573 3.324262 4.653872 6.606548 9.418416 13.864557
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.601694 2.250681 3.159658 4.547908 6.654054 9.794392 14.955142
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.483009 2.131095 3.062320 4.524627 6.812422 10.338688 16.352361
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.374568 2.016019 2.959520 4.479468 6.926100 10.815538 17.683236
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.334952 1.999461 3.000736 4.657086 7.403613 11.913719 20.175625
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.257658 1.918280 2.934778 4.655706 7.584706 12.534309 21.903089
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.181202 1.832216 2.853567 4.620396 7.701783 13.051224 23.495763
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.065396 1.677025 2.653029 4.373707 7.439944 12.891989 23.835746
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.010619 1.617399 2.604466 4.382538 7.629961 13.564970 25.865422
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.978965 1.593486 2.613010 4.490676 8.008272 14.623144 28.799207
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.936195 1.547480 2.579968 4.520420 8.241552 15.426155 31.310171
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.896243 1.503366 2.546569 4.545727 8.466928 16.234175 33.936980
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.858332 1.460113 2.511259 4.563699 8.678047 17.032835 36.648938
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.805437 1.386730 2.416523 4.460021 8.634484 17.296617 38.170355
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.768257 1.339281 2.365784 4.437242 8.752960 17.913393 40.601416
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.730915 1.289205 2.306758 4.393056 8.821786 18.427578 42.852989
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.724212 1.295494 2.354158 4.566839 9.371678 20.071558 48.171333
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.696040 1.259509 2.317990 4.565489 9.538222 20.856672 51.392231